The Obama Bubble
During the course of this mania, a stranger walked into a town market, saw a flower he thought pretty, and inquired of the seller, "how much for that flower, kind sir"?
"A thousand guilders," came the reply, a amount equal to many months worth of labor for an average working stiff.
The stranger stopped, stared, and his draw dropped. Recovering his composure, he replied loudly, "A thousand guilders for a @#*()&! flower?!? Are you out of your tulip-pickin’ mind?"
All around him, crowds of buyers, vigorously competing for the best specimens, heard his reaction, paused, and considered: "Ya know, the kid’s got a point. Why in the world would ANYONE pay that kind of money for a lousy flower?" As they filed away, sellers scrambled to entice them back, aggressively cutting prices. By the end of the day, bags of bulbs were on sale for 3 guilders at the local Haus Depot.
People ask if the recent economic crisis represents a failure of the marketplace. Absolutely not. Indeed, it represents the market place imposing stiff penalties on people who foolishly overvalued certain assets. Although the government may have helped create the bubble with foolish policies, the market does not long tolerate irrationality. Sooner or later, people come to their senses and, when they do, God help those who bought in late.
Bubbles cannot be prevented, because people are not always rational. We rely upon a jury system because, in the vast number of cases, and over time, juries arrive at better answers than do judges. That is not to say that any particular jury verdict makes sense; we somehow empaneled a jury that acquitted OJ. But one irrational jury verdict does not testify against the entire system. So, too, occasional bubbles – representing, as they do, human fallibility – do not speak to the need for governmental regulation. Indeed, governmental regulation tends to be infinitely more irrational than the market place.
Bubbles result from people expecting great returns for little investment. They develop their own momentum and no force on Earth can prevent people from acting irrationally. During the late 70's, people actually paid $4 for a "pet rock". In the late 90's, they invested billions in companies which never sold a product or turned a profit. Just recently, they went on a home-buying tear. In each case, those who believed they would never get burned took a beating.
Bubbles grow of their own accord. When people start acting irrationally, bubbles feed upon themselves, growing progressively larger, against all logic. Trying to persuade folks of the folly of their actions meets with no result: they move, herd-like, impelled by an irrational exuberance, contrary to their own interests and without rational thought. Inevitably, though, someone eventually walks into the market place, reveals the emperor to be naked, and the bubble bursts, leaving those who participated feeling foolish.
Although the housing bubble is now history, there remains on bubble very much alive: the Obama bubble.
Against all logic, it appears that the electorate will shortly coronate the least qualified man ever to assume the presidency. Seduced by a media swoon, hypnotized by the utterly meaningless mantras of "hope" and "change" (Obama might as well have stood before the crowd chanting "Om" for all the specifics he provides), the people seem poised to elect a hard-core dedicated leftist, absolutely intent of wrecking the foundation of a free society: economic liberty. Blinded by the bubble mentality, they repose their hopes in "hope" (or, more accurately, "hype"), flocking, sheep-like, toward the comforting fold. Even conservatives, who should know better, endorse The One on the grounds that he’s too bright to actually believe all the democratic socialist claptrap he spouts on the campaign trail. (The gullibility of these folks probably amused Obama to no end.)
Like all bubbles, this one abides only the arrival of the well-grounded stranger to pop it. But, alas, it seems that John McCain cannot find the voice to make the people listen. He sounds akin to Bob Dole’s plaintive, exasperated lament, "where’s the outrage"?
But burst this bubble eventually will, perhaps when the people realize that the promised tax relief never materializes. Perhaps when they see trillion dollar deficits. Perhaps when he appoints Cynthia McKinney or Catharine MacKinnon to the United States Supreme Court. Perhaps when he piously intones that "spreading the wealth" means that everyone with a job needs to pay more to permit the colossal expansion of government he envisions. While the media will remain in the tank, the people will, with some luck, realize precisely the same buyers’ remorse from which they suffered when they fell for the last glib huckster, Bill Clinton. Reaction to his overreach produced the GOP landslide in 1994, and, unlike Clinton, Obama’s a true believing, non-triangulating leftist. Although Obama is not an idiot, there is simply no way to do the kind of things he wishes to do without massive harm to the economy. Even if he’s fortunate enough to inherit an improving economy, as did Clinton, his tax proposals make Clinton’s look puny by comparison. His policies are patently and obviously inconsistent with prosperity.
Of course, socialist policies, while they destroy economies, also produce dedicated constituencies, like public employee unions. Destroying an economy does not necessarily get one evicted from office; witness the Democrats in NJ, who have waged relentless war on prosperity, and stand poised on the brink of victory. Obama’s non-bubble supporters – hard-core "progressives" ideologically opposed to freedom – will continue to support him through thick and thin. The media (the membership of which is almost exclusively composed of the ideological opponents of freedom) will remain his lap dog. But, perhaps, the bubble will burst when the people actually realize that this guy means all the anti-freedom things he says.
Miscellany. Reviewing global warming thoughts, it appears that the paper industry ranks among the worst environmental offenders in terms of energy intensity. A partial solution suggests itself. The New York Times should immediately cease publication, its product apparently being as toxic to the environment as its opinions are to politics. It simply won’t do for one of the loudest advocates for restrictive environmental controls to rank among the worst environmental malefactors.
Or, perhaps, The Times would support a huge paper tax rather than (or in addition to) a huge gas tax, thereby ensuring that its readership bears the full consequences of its environmental crimes.
